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Sunday, February 10, 2008

Clinton vs Obama- This May be a Job for the Super Delegates


"Oh, I wish Superdelegateman was here!"


In the wake of Barack Obama's primary wins in Washington, Nebraska and Louisiana, as well as his expected victories in the upcoming Potomac primaries (DC-Virginia and Maryland), the Democratic race has just gotten closer-if that's possible. Of course Hillary is looking forward to states like Texas and Pennsylvania, which have a lot of delegates and appear to be strong for her. Nevertheless, the question begs: What happens if this thing goes all the way to the convention and has to be settled by the so-called "super delegates"?

I may be way out of line here; I am no political expert, and I have to rely on what I hear on television from the really smart guys (pundits). But from what I understand, Hillary stands to get the majority of the super delegate votes, which would carry her to the nomination. The question I have is what if Obama goes into the convention with a lead, however slight, in delegates won via the primaries-only to see the super delegates give it to Hillary? What will be the reaction of Obama's supporters-especially the African-Americans who voted for him? Will they feel that they have been screwed by the Democratic Party establishment-this party that always has supposedly represented their best interests and has taken black votes for granted? Will they abandon the party in November to punish Hillary? Donna Brazile is already threatening to leave the party if such a scenario unfolds. I think it's fair to say that without a large African-American vote, Hillary won't have much chance of being elected.

The obvious counter to that is that Mrs Clinton would offer the VP slot to Obama. Would Obama accept it-especially if he perceives that the nomination was taken away from him? If Obama loses the nomination thanks to the super delegates, would he just walk away and sit on his hands in November-or even run as an independent a la Joe Lieberman? Intriguing possibilities.

For me, it would be poetic justice if the Democrats screwed Obama at the convention. That is why I hope he surges into the lead. Then let's see how the Clinton machine and their followers in the party of love and inclusion pull out all the stops to deny Obama the nomination. And make no mistake- the Clintons will pull out all the stops if necessary. They are praying right now that it won't be needed-that Hillary will capture the requisite number of delegates from the primary/caucus voters. Of course, we should not forget that Hillary wants-and needs those delegates from Florida and Michigan who, as it stands now, will not be seated due to their states moving their primaries up. Is an ugly court battle on the horizen? At any rate, it is looking increasingly likely that Hillary, if she wins, will have to "win ugly" as they say in sports.

And a lot of Democratic voters will be watching.

2 comments:

eldon said...

The younger generation that is flocking to Obama seem different than those from the past that I know.We came from the roll up your sleeves and work generations and they from the talk generation.Think about this He has talked and she has worked and where I come from that is all that matters.Hillary is the one who has worked many years to help insure the opportunity for Mr Obama that he now enjoys.I hope that the Lemmings following Obama would step back and question this American Idol approach to picking a president What are you really saying and what do you stand for

Gary Fouse said...

Eldon,

I agree completely with your assessment of Obama, though not necessarily of Mrs Clinton. I would never vote for Obama in November because I am a conservative. I do, however, hope he beats out Hillary. Let's just say that I think he is a more reputable person than the Clintons.